Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ICP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-11-17 00:00:00+00:00 6.495922 7.157050 7.889121 8.766182 9.796869 10.980393 12.458085
2024-11-24 00:00:00+00:00 5.386791 6.242029 7.266112 8.606326 10.351167 12.602263 15.827756
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 4.744693 5.675662 6.848150 8.477041 10.758499 13.974251 19.133783
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 4.264972 5.218998 6.465338 8.276126 10.961026 15.029605 22.235082
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 3.946119 4.922618 6.239029 8.228548 11.335353 16.378039 26.242970
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 3.694038 4.683910 6.054759 8.199425 11.708888 17.784662 30.909828
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 3.544117 4.567926 6.024989 8.387630 12.451386 20.008559 38.366403
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 3.295998 4.290035 5.728275 8.112396 12.344102 20.590043 42.317723
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 3.080162 4.042608 5.454885 7.840980 12.194851 21.043987 46.223468
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 2.915685 3.858993 5.263097 7.682203 12.225418 21.885339 51.849406
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 2.793889 3.730548 5.145950 7.636040 12.461680 23.253356 60.327804
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 2.779672 3.762456 5.282835 8.047527 13.684793 27.410721 84.283987
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 2.697722 3.692240 5.260712 8.192817 14.438531 30.857006 113.008018
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 2.566571 3.538476 5.090990 8.047688 14.537637 32.556457 137.160256
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 2.452695 3.405012 4.944902 7.930633 14.680340 34.488218 170.143935
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 2.338216 3.263950 4.775439 7.748602 14.633356 35.800007 204.622326
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 2.255674 3.169925 4.680533 7.705467 14.925270 38.504987 273.016211
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 2.182293 3.086725 4.598457 7.679057 15.257009 41.602041 382.303298
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 2.143170 3.057682 4.610106 7.849651 16.159093 47.784779 701.731540
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 2.047776 2.929838 4.434801 7.600108 15.834309 48.179274 864.039399
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 1.958948 2.809530 4.267118 7.353638 15.481700 48.313221 1056.125263
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 1.889572 2.719337 4.150090 7.209273 15.408629 49.915291 1530.365819
2025-04-20 00:00:00+00:00 1.837939 2.657184 4.081583 7.167274 15.639370 53.411808 3033.744202